Mt. Vernon (Fortville)
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #21
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #9
Rushville Regional Rank #2
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Arabian Round Up Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Mason Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hancock County Hoosier Heritage Conference Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/15 8/25 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/25 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 373 314 642 336 391 375 375 368 383 454 360 389
Team Adjusted Rating 314 403 293 336 336 375 368 383 454 360 389
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Arabian Round Up Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Mason Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hancock County Hoosier Heritage Conference Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
96  Tristan Trevino 11 16:34 17:01 16:23 16:38 16:41 16:58 16:45 16:25 16:29
103  Austin Rush 12 16:36 16:32 16:12 16:30 16:35 16:38 16:38 16:39 16:54 17:05 16:33 16:27 16:36
143  Joseph Blagrave 12 16:51 16:32 16:57 16:34 16:47 16:53 17:00 16:43 16:59 16:52 16:57 16:46
254  Colin Strachman 10 17:14 17:35 17:57 17:12 17:21 17:04 17:24 17:07 17:01 17:24 16:59 17:11
271  Sam Wilson 12 17:16 16:52 17:09 16:47 17:17 17:09 17:13 17:32 17:10 17:24 17:10 18:11
278  Reyce Morgan 12 17:18 16:45 16:57 16:46 16:54 17:18 17:17 17:15 17:58 18:22
536  Landon Willis 9 17:49 17:48 18:17 18:14 18:18 18:00 18:05 17:25 17:34 17:47
696  Ahmed Saleh 9 18:06 18:14 18:48 18:32 18:43 18:19 18:31 17:56
945  Xaiden Jenson 9 18:28 18:30 18:30 18:34 18:23 18:20 18:33
Brayden Strantz 9 19:26 21:05 19:37 19:19 18:57
Wilson Hoeppner 10 20:34 19:39 20:52 20:59 20:22




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 8.2 239 0.1 1.0 3.9 10.5 17.1 24.3 24.7 12.2 4.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.7 45 25.9 73.6 0.5
Sectionals 100% 1.8 40 25.1 74.2 0.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tristan Trevino 40.3% 74.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 40.3% 40.3%
Austin Rush 32.4% 78.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 32.4% 32.4%
Joseph Blagrave 2.9% 94.3 2.9% 2.9%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tristan Trevino 100% 33.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.7 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.8 100.0%
Austin Rush 100% 35.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.8 2.2 2.2 100.0%
Joseph Blagrave 100% 52.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Colin Strachman 100% 82.9 99.9%
Sam Wilson 100% 86.4 99.9%
Reyce Morgan 100% 88.7 99.7%
Landon Willis 100% 126.1 57.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tristan Trevino 100% 2.7 6.5 26.0 24.6 17.9 10.2 6.1 3.6 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Austin Rush 100% 3.1 3.7 19.2 24.4 19.5 13.3 7.6 4.6 3.1 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Joseph Blagrave 100% 7.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 8.8 12.1 14.1 12.1 10.7 8.7 7.9 6.8 5.0 3.4 2.7 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Colin Strachman 100% 16.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.1 3.0 3.9 5.6 6.8 6.9 7.2 8.7 10.0 10.2 9.1 8.0 5.9 4.4 2.2 1.5 0.9 100.0%
Sam Wilson 100% 17.3 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.9 3.0 3.7 5.1 6.2 6.8 7.6 9.2 10.6 10.5 8.8 7.7 5.8 4.2 2.6 1.6 100.0%
Reyce Morgan 100% 18.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.3 2.1 2.9 4.0 4.9 5.4 6.6 8.9 10.1 10.9 10.9 9.4 7.1 5.5 3.6 2.2 100.0%
Landon Willis 100% 28.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.7 3.4 5.1 6.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tristan Trevino 2.6 6.1 27.9 26.4 19.5 10.2 4.7 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
Austin Rush 3.0 4.1 19.3 27.0 21.3 14.2 6.4 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Joseph Blagrave 6.1 0.0 0.5 2.5 10.5 15.5 19.5 12.9 11.3 10.5 6.0 4.0 3.5 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
Colin Strachman 13.2 0.3 0.8 2.5 3.4 4.3 8.0 8.5 9.2 10.4 15.6 16.0 12.0 6.5 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Sam Wilson 13.9 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.2 3.1 5.7 6.7 8.2 9.7 14.3 16.7 17.0 10.7 3.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
Reyce Morgan 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.6 4.5 6.1 6.9 8.5 11.7 16.8 19.3 14.8 4.8 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0
Landon Willis 19.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 3.4 15.6 24.8 19.1 16.9 12.5 3.8 1.6 0.8